Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Prediction Market

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Current Polymarket Yes price: 2.9%. The True Probability Interval is 1.6% – 2.9%.

Polymarket Price
Yes
2.9%
No
97.2%
True Probability Interval
Lower Bound
1.6%
Upper Bound
2.9%
How is this calculated?
Volume
$18.1M
24h Volume
$22.5K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price History

Historical Yes price

0%25%50%75%100%8/7/20269/7/2026

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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