Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Prediction Market

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Current Polymarket Yes price: 4.0%. The True Probability Interval is 2.8% – 4.0%.

Polymarket Price
Yes
4.0%
No
96.0%
True Probability Interval
Lower Bound
2.8%
Upper Bound
4.0%
How is this calculated?
Volume
$720.8K
24h Volume
$51.8
Resolution date
January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price History

Historical Yes price

0%25%50%75%100%8/7/20269/7/2026

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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