Prediction Market
New pandemic in 2026?
Current Polymarket Yes price: 6.5%. The True Probability Interval is 5.3% – 6.6%.
Polymarket Price
Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%
Volume
$1.1M
24h Volume
$1.2K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price History
Historical Yes price
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.