Prediction Market
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Current Polymarket Yes price: 3.1%. The True Probability Interval is 2.4% – 3.2%.
Polymarket Price
Yes
3.1%
No
96.9%
Volume
$2.6M
24h Volume
$1.9K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price History
Historical Yes price
Resolution Rules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.