Prediction Market
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Current Polymarket Yes price: 1.5%. The True Probability Interval is 0.7% – 1.5%.
Polymarket Price
Yes
1.5%
No
98.6%
Volume
$1.3M
24h Volume
$0
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price History
Historical Yes price
Resolution Rules
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Resolution source
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm