Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Prediction Market

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Current Polymarket Yes price: 24.0%. The True Probability Interval is 23.3% – 24.2%.

Polymarket Price
Yes
24.0%
No
76.0%
True Probability Interval
Lower Bound
23.3%
Upper Bound
24.2%
How is this calculated?
Volume
$26.5K
24h Volume
$9.8
Resolution date
January 17, 2027

Polymarket Price History

Historical Yes price

0%25%50%75%100%9/27/202610/27/2026

Resolution Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Resolution source
https://www.inecnigeria.org/

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