Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Prediction Market

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Current Polymarket Yes price: 0.3%. The True Probability Interval is 0.0% – 0.3%.

Polymarket Price
Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
True Probability Interval
Lower Bound
0.0%
Upper Bound
0.3%
How is this calculated?
Volume
$28M
24h Volume
$2.1K
Resolution date
November 7, 2028

Polymarket Price History

Historical Yes price

0%25%50%75%100%8/7/20269/7/2026

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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