Prediction Market
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Current Polymarket Yes price: 16.5%. The True Probability Interval is 15.5% – 16.7%.
Polymarket Price
Yes
16.5%
No
83.5%
Volume
$14.2M
24h Volume
$103.5K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price History
Historical Yes price
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.